INTRADAY ARCANA TREND PREDICTION ON EURO
This is a private page set up for some of you forex and currency who have asked me about Gann’s methods as they apply to those markets. Here is what you are seeing in the Gallery below. It is the intraday Arcana trend prediction applied to the Euro currency futures on 45 consecutive recent days using 2min charts. We displayed Arcana on the futures because the tails and the bars in spot forex or the Euro/Dollar pair can be a little distracting. But the data will be the same. The Intraday Arcana predicts precise trend direction and duration in advance on an intraday basis beginning at daybreak New York time. You can make the predictions days ahead of time, and it does not depend on market data. On our website, you will find the annual application of Arcana going back for the entire history of the Euro applied to the spot forex. Each Green or Red line below denotes the predicted beginning of a trend either up or down. Some of the lines labeled “flip” also start a trend upward down, but predict that trend as an opposite flip of the previous trend. The shaded area or box is a “no trend zone” where no trend exists in that time of day. the market is free to do as it pleases. The little blue arrows denote predicted ideal times for entries in the direction of the trend in case of a pullback against the trend. The little purple arrows denote ideal times for a market run in the direction of the trend to end or pause. They are not “buy on blue sell on purple” signals. Gann’s ideal method for using the Arcana is waiting for a trend to start, and then buy if the market pulled back into a blue arrow time. The Arcana is not a trading system. It is a trend prediction system. Our test for it is simple. If the predicted trend is UP, then the market should make a move of substance in that direction AND close the trend leg out higher or even (within 3 pips here) at the end than the price was at the exact start of the trend. A trend can end with a flip or just end. The best way to use Arcana is as a “behind the scenes” roadmap of the day to come, pinpointing times when the market will have up or down energy, where those times will start, and the ideal times to enter or exit those trends. Here are some specific ways to integrate Arcana into your trading place: • If you are in a position before an Arcana trend starts, Arcana will alert you to an upcoming time when trend will remain in your direction or change. • Use Arcana as a position size filter. Increase position on trades in Arcana direction. • Let’s say market collapsing into an Arcana UP trend time start. You will be alerted when to begin looking for bottom. • Arcana helps you understand market. In times where your technical analysis shows a strong UP trend but Arcana shows DOWN trend, high probability market chop and Arcana ends trend even. • Arcana does not have to pass our test to help you trade. On days where Arcana fails by predicting an UP trend in a strong down day, you can identify the day as one where bottom bounces are more likely to work. • Use the Arcana per our simple test stats. Upon a trend prediction, market has 84% chance of closing the trend leg in trend direction or even See below for July so far intraday price and time methods combined. The elements that W. D. Gann would have used on the chart would be dictated by the Arcana trend direction, even in no-trend periods. There are several price methods on the charts below. Gann used a trifecta confluence of Law of Vibration price prediction (used mainly for the main and extreme lows and highs of the day,) Wheel of 24 (confirmed highs and lows,) and range prediction from tops to bottom (locked in the area of price predictions for highs and lows.) Where these three came together, a lime price box of 2-3 ticks is drawn. Gann also predicted exact ranges for pullbacks, denoted by small yellow horizontal lines on the charts. W. D. Gann's time methods start with the trend, or red and green vertical lines on the charts. These lines mark exact times and durations where trend is UP OR DOWN. In some cases, these mark exact time the trend will flip opposite. These time the general UP or DOWN energy/trend of the market, to the minute. The small light blue arrows are "Minor Entries," or exact times to enter the market on a minor move against predicted trend direction. The small purple arrows mark exact times that a move in the direction of predicted trend should die out. Finally, the grey/green arrows market exact 'secular' turns times that mark the most likely or second most likely time the market will make a top or bottom. These times are confirmed by the market making a new high or low into these times. After the chart with the time and price methods for each day, another chart of the same day shows Gann's vibrational time period for that day converted to cycle-bars measuring the mean and comparing it to the bars before. In this method combining price and time, the market will confirm each turn. This is shown on a separate chart to avoid confusion, but in live trading you would have both charts open. INTRADAY PRICE AND TIME METHODS COMBINED