W. D. GANN'S PERIODIC CYCLE
An offshoot of W. D. Gann's “Magic Cycle” technique, the periodic cycle gives us a regular, predictable intraday cycle. This cycle shows up best on the $TICK Index. The length of this cycle changes every day, as does its anchor. But we can reliably predict when the cycle starts with a set formula and rules. (SCROLL DOWN FOR PICS.)
The cycle is calculated before the day begins, precisely indicated by the formula. After this cycle starts, each period and alternation remain constant.
We can match this cycle with the trend (both secular and Arcana predictive) and use the alternation as a buying or selling trigger in the same direction. There are times where the TICK diverges against its cyclical direction. When price and $TICK diverge from the Periodic Cycle. In these instances, we are handed unmatched opportunity for market entry. Risk to reward becomes superior, because you can predict the direction and duration of big money institutional buying and selling.
Click on the graph to the right to expand. Combining the Periodic Cycle, Arcana Trend, and the VWAP to agree on trade direction. Then we use 1.5 reward/risk of the last pivot to create a potent trading strategy. This back-testing uses only 1 contract of the ES, accounts slippage, and was performed on a random time period from April 11th through July 22nd of 2022. Further results remain consistent.
This cycle's main function is finding the wind at your back each hour- instead of pinpointing exact tops and bottoms. The Periodic Cycle can confirm whether or not that bottom is worth buying, or if the market is topping out at that high. The Periodic Cycle is taught in our "W. D. GANN: MASTER THE MARKETS" Training
We've chosen a couple days below to illustrate how the Periodic Cycle plays out on the $TICK Index and SPY EFT as well. These two days, September 24th and 28th, were picked because the cycle begins in different places on each day, and interacts with different trends.
Let’s look at the 28th below first, because the application of the cycle is simpler. The first thing we notice is that the cycle headed down into the market open. We know the length of the cycle in advance, and therefore confirm that there will be institutional selling for the first 30 minutes or so. While this cycle leg is still declining, the $TICK shoots up above 1000. During a declining TICK cycle leg, this divergence gives us a window for a selling opportunity most market participants miss.
We know the market is strong on this day when it bobs up above the open during a cycle of institutional selling. When the Periodic Cycle changes to up just before 9:30am CST, we see the price diverge, as does the $TICK. In an up trend, we are seeing a buyable pullback. The cycle then dictates the up and down waves in the market for the rest of the day.
Now let's turn our attention to the 24th. Our formula tells us that the cycle starts a bit later after the open on this day. The 24th is choppier, and there hasn’t been a huge up move on the futures preceding the open.
So on this day the Periodic Cycle as seen on the $TICK more closely defines the up and down alternations in the price data. Divergences of both price and $TICK to the cycle direction are smaller, but still mark great entry points. On days like these, the points at which the alternating legs change from up to down take over in marking entries.
EMPIRE NEWSLETTER 2023 FORECASTMarch 2023
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